I think I do. Wasn’t that one pastor’s endorsement in the final days the turning point for Santorum? He was the benefiiary of Newt’s takedown by the attack ads launched by both Paul and particularly slimebag Romney.
if you are in a 3-delegate caucus and the vote is 13 romney, 10 ronpaul, 4 newt (assume 15% viability threshold).... then NEWT gets 0 delegates and the 4 NEWTs get a chance to re-group with one of the other groups.
If the 4 newts join ronpaul, he gets 2 delegates and romney gets 1.
I wonder if the NEWTS were given instructions on who to group with ... seems RS would be first choice and then rp over mitt.