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does anyone have a schedule of filing deadlines?

We are approaching February. At some point, too many primary filing deadlines will have passed such that it is mathematically impossible to enter (let alone win) enough primaries to get a majority of delegates.

We might be past that point already.

Robert Kennedy entered late in 1968, and then obviously won the CA primary. I know, different era, different party, no super Tuesday, etc., etc., etc.

But this is an itneresting political story.

If too late, though, then the only hope for the establishment is to try to get delegates to bolt. I think there are different rules for each state as to what sort of freedom their delegates have, are there not? At least with regards to the first round.

Bottom line. Most likely, this is all going to play out along pretty orthodox lines. Florida is a big day...whoever wins there, will have the Big Mo and will take a step closer to the nomination. Either Newt or Romney is going to be the nominee for the GOP.

I think, if I were to bet, I “think” as of today that it will be Newt.

But wow how soon predictions have proven to have short lives this primary season!!!

NJ, NY, NB, MN, OR, PA, SD, UT, CA, DE, IN, KY filing deadlines have not yet passed.

Others with filing deadlines have come and gone. FEC.gov (Acrobat PDF)

The plan would be to enter a "unity" candidate like Bush and put every resource of the RNC behind him while pressuring the others to withdraw. The hope would be to deny any one candidate a first ballot majority at the convention. If there is no first ballot win, then delegates are released from their obligations and can vote for anyone. The party-designated candidate would then be able to wheel and deal his way to an eventual majority.

The party establishment would hope the conservatives, cheated out of an honest process, would go away, splinter off, do whatever, but leave the GOP to quietly play its historic go-along-to-get-along game with their big brother 'rats.

The plan would be to enter a "unity" candidate like Bush and put every resource of the RNC behind him while pressuring the others to withdraw and release delegates. The hope would be to deny any one of the real candidates a first ballot majority at the convention.

If there is no first ballot win, then delegates are released from their obligations and can vote for anyone. The party-designated candidate would then be able to wheel and deal his way to an eventual majority.

The party establishment would hope the conservatives, cheated out of an honest process, would go away, splinter off, do whatever, but leave the GOP to quietly play its historic go-along-to-get-along game with their big brother 'rats.