Ok. At least tell us if your prediction is based on a known unknown or an unknown unknown.
Unknown. It’s based on reading history and following human nature.
I think we’ve been in August of 1939 for some time, and this year will be September of 1939. The world governments and the government of the US have been kicking the can down the road for too long as the problems get bigger and bigger. And every time they kick the can it is heavier and goes a shorter distance.
I think they will kick it several times this winter/spring, but I think they will be unsuccessful at kicking it out of this year. A hundred years of chickens are coming home to roost, and it is about to happen on Obama’s watch, and, him being the most inexperienced and poorly qualified in the history of the US, this will be very bad for the US, and for him.
He will not finish his term.