From the article:
Florida allows early voting, and Romney leads among those voters by 11 points. Gingrich leads by 12 among those who have not yet voted. Fourteen percent (14%) have already cast their vote.
I don’t think early voting will change the outcome, just maybe dent the victory 2 points or so.
That’s my hope anyway. With the vast majority still having not voted, I think the impact won’t be too big.
Luckily there’s a debate tonight as well, and I bet some early voters are waiting to do so until they see that. If something awful doesn’t happen, surely Newt will win that one again and see his numbers increase a few points more...with a big lead already if this poll is right, I can’t see them going up too much more, but after the debate they should go up some.
I’m surprised the RNC/DNC haven’t been against early voting since it seems it would make campaigns more costly in primaries.
If 14% have voted at that ratio that suggests Romney could secured a 1.5 point advantage for himself in the final tally among the early voters. Obviously Newt can make that up easily with the lead he’s got now if it holds.