The Reuters/Ipsos is a piece o’ crap, an Internet poll with self-selected participants. Here’s an examination of that worthless Reuters poll:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/15/before-citing-a-poll-read-the-fine-print/
And here’s updated lists of all the SC poll pointing toward a Gingrich win, from Realclearpolitics.com and from the NYTimes pollster blog (I know, it’s the NYTimes, but data is data):
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fivethirtyeight/primaries/south-carolina
So the question is whether you trust all these polls - half a dozen or more - or one crappy Internet poll that gets support only from its sponsor, Reuters.
Oh, it’s an internet poll, too = Totally Worthless
Gingrich may win SC. A month ago, he was projected to win it by a large margin. Now it looks like an Iowa nailbiter. The polls will not have time to reflect the ex wife story from today. So it will be hard to tell until late Saturday nite.
If Newt wins SC, it keeps him in the race a while longer. But I don’t believe he can win the nomination. He doesn’t have the campaign organization. And he isn’t even on the ballot in VA, and several other states due to missteps. And he has too many skeletons to win in November. I’d love for a Newt presidency. But all those polls you have faith in, also show him loosing by 20 points to Obama in the National election.
It’s sad, but I think Alexrod is smiling tonite.