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To: RC one

“He tied Santorum in NH”

Actually, he lost after the count was finished. Santorum came from behind once again and overcame the deficit.

“undone in Iowa by millions of dollars in negative attack adds that were directed solely at him.”

Sounds like an excuse. Newt wilted in the heat.

“Furthermore, who really cares what a couple of blue states think in a Republican primary anyways?”

Sour grapes. I didn’t really want them anyways.

“Now we get to SC and, despite Romney’s negative attack add blitz”

Newt was +20 in SC before.

“RCP polling averages have him polling in second place behind Romney.”

This was supposed to be a Newt blowout.

“I think it’s pretty difficult to argue that people don’t like the man.”

Some people do like the man. But his favourability is far lower than Santorum. Newt has very high unfavourability. Call it baggage, but that is why the attacks are effective.

If you think that the attacks are going to let up now, you’re mistaken. If Newt can’t beat Romney in South Carolina, it’s over for him.


40 posted on 01/18/2012 2:16:11 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: BenKenobi
a statistical tie for 4th place in a blue state. Woo Hoo, let's brag about that.

Newt definitely still has a path forward even with a second place win in SC.

Newt polls higher than Santorum even after the attack adds and despite his "baggage". what's that say about the rest of the field?

44 posted on 01/18/2012 2:49:25 PM PST by RC one (the majority of republicans agree, anyone but Romney.)
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To: BenKenobi
Just this morning, we have a hint about ABC news agonizing over whether it is ethical to release a interview with Newt's ex- before the South Carolina primary. The rumor is that it could "Jack Ryan" him out of the race.

Who is so naive to think that this won't be aired before the general election if Newt makes it that far?

Another question: Does Newt have sealed divorce records? What do you think the chances are of them remaining sealed? In Jack Ryan's case, the wife wanted them to remain sealed as well. How did that work out?

100 posted on 01/19/2012 7:10:42 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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