It’s uncanny how similar this is to 2008. Establishment “next in line” RINO pick (McCain/Romney) surges after NH despite losing to an upstart social conservative outsider in IA (Huckabee/Santorum). The winner of IA can’t capitalize on momentum because someone who has lots of conservative support is pulling votes away (Gingrich/Thompson) while a libertarian (Paul/Paul) and a persistent candidate who is already done stays in for no discernable reason (Giuliani/Perry).
Ironically, Perry endorsed Giuliani in 2008.
W8 4 de-b8s! The numbers will change this week!
Looking forward to tonight. FOX debate 6pm (pacific)
He prefers older women now.
This is the Insider Advantage? Another words Inside the Beltway poll? Inside the Republican Party Poll?
1. Note above that this poll claims itself that it is weighted only for age, race, and gender.
a. That means it is not weighted for political party of preference.
2. Note as well that the poll claims for itself that it is for likely voters who are registered in S Carolina. It explains further that it means "likely to vote in the Republican primary."
3. This means that it could ALL be democrats, independents, or 3rd partiers who just happen to want to vote, for whatever reason, in the republican primary. We ALL know that there is no reason for democrats to vote in the democrat primary. Obama is unopposed. It isn't likely that zero republicans are included, but the point is that there was absolutely no effort to ensure any breakdown whatsoever.
Personally, I think this is little different (maybe worse) than the reuters poll that included as many democrats as republicans in their sample.
In this poll we don't have a clue what the breakdown is.
Too true - how about a poll of REPUBLICAN voters, not just likely voters?
| SC voters: If you liked a 3rd, 4th, 5th place candidate, THINK ABOUT THIS before voting.... Each congressional district will have 2 delegates given to the winner-take-all within the district (that's 14 delegates total) And Statewide, there will be 11 delegates given to the winner-take-all at the state level So let's assume Romney is in 1st place in the polls just before the vote. Let's assume there is ONE close NON-Romney, but he's in 2nd place. Maybe YOU would prefer a 3rd or 4th or 5th place non-ROMNEY.... BUT IF YOU Vote for that 3rd or 4th or 5th place non-ROMNEY, you have just voted FOR ROMNEY because it is WINNER TAKE ALL!!!! The ONLY way to NOT give your delegates to ROMNEY is to consolidate all votes behind the LEADING NON-ROMNEY |