Posted on 01/11/2012 7:31:06 AM PST by Jeff Head
Thought I would create a thread that shows the totals of the primaries thus far in terms of total votes, totals by candidate, percentages, and delegates thus far.
So, here it is
Total Votes Cast (with percent in parens):
Iowa = 121,914 (33.57%)
New Hampshire = 241,299 (66.43%)
Total Votes = 363,213
Total Vote/Percent and Delegates by Canddiate :
Romney = 126,185 (34.74%) (12 Delegates)
Paul = 82,122 (22.61%) (10 Delegates)
Santorum = 52,921 (14.57%) (7 Delegates)
Huntsman = 41,650 (11.52%) (2 Delegates)
Gingrich = 39,321 (10.83%) 2 Delegates
Perry = 14,309 (3.94%) (2 Delegates)
Bachman = 6,416 (1.77%) (0 Delegates)
As I have said before, the time must come quickly for the Santorum, Gingrich and Perry camps to come together into a single candidate to challenge Romney. If they had done so, at this point that candidate would be looking at:
Conservative Challenger = 106,551 (29.34%) (11 Delegates)
That would be a strong 2nd place going away from Romney's home turf into South Carolina. When Hunstman drops out, most of his votes will go to Romney, so that would serve to tighten it up...and also split Romney's vote a bit as long as Hunstman stays in.
If the conservative candidates continue to split themselves three ways, then I predict Romney either wins SC or comes in a close second, and the same thing happens in Florida. Most are not talking about getting out until after Florida. I believe that if Perry, for example, has a poor showing in SC then he should throw in behind the leading conservative.
If they wait until after Florida, and if Romney wins both SC and Florida (which is possible in this split vote because he is leading in the polls in both states now), then it may be too late.
I absolutely agree...splitting the vote dooms conservatives.
Can they please correct romneys total. He is getting 22 for Iowa whe he should be getting only 2. Can we also get the momentum that was stolen from Santorum back? Why are we not all calling the RNC RIGHT NOW to correct this? We are talking about checking a few hundred delegate votes, not millions. This can be corrected and told to the media in 15 minutes!
There were no delegates awarded in Iowa to the national convention. The process started with the caucus on Jan 3, then proceeds to the county level, then the congressional district level and finally to the state level before the delegates are chosen. The Iowa delegates are unbound to the national convention.
Sure is a long, hard fall from the heady times of the Reagan years, no?
“All the more reason for them to come together becaue SC is a winner take all”
As I posted to you in another thread — forgeddaboutit, Jeff.
These guys are politicians first and foremost. Their egos would never let them entertain such reason....
I'll vote for whoever is opposing Obama in the fall, but I'm just sayin' ....
Actually, NO ONE has delegates from Iowa. The caucuses are non-binding. The actual voting takes place in March, IIRC.
Correct...but those are the current projections.
FUNH
and a FUBO for good measure. There is something fundamentally wrong with our selection process.
Actually, NO ONE has delegates from Iowa. The caucuses are non-binding. The actual voting takes place in March, IIRC.
At the least Santorums momentum was stolen.
For what it's worth dept.
Saturday 16 June 2012: The Iowa State Republican Convention officially convenes. 25 of 28 National Convention delegates are selected.
The delegates to the Iowa State Republican Convention gather: at this time, the delegates to the State Convention from each county making up a given congressional district meet in separate Congressional District Caucuses to choose the state's district delegates to the Republican National Convention.
- Each of Iowa's 4 congressional districts are assigned 3 National Convention delegates. Thus, a total of 12 district delegates will be chosen by these Congressional District Caucuses. These 12 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be allocated to the presidential contenders in such a way as determined by each Congressional District Caucus.
The State Convention chooses the remaining 13 at-large of Iowa's delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 3 bonus delegates) to the Republican National Convention.
- There is no formal system of allocating these 13 at-large National Convention delegates to presidential contenders. These delegates will be allocated according to the vote of the Iowa State Convention as a whole.
In addition, 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Iowa's Republican Party, will attend the convention as unpledged delegates by virtue of their position.
Romney 12 at 48.00%
Single Conservtive 11 at 44.00%
Huntsman 2 at 8.00%
I won't get into the argument as to whether the candidates making up the "Single Conservative" are, in fact, really conservative. The important thing is that their supporters perceive them to be so and, while never 100% certain, are more likely to vote accordingly than the unpredictable Paulistas.
Accordingly, this sort of puts Jon Huntsman into an interesting position as a broker between the conservative wing and the moderate wing of the GOP, doesn't it?
He’s not the future of the Republican Party, even if he doesn’t shake to death with that tremor.
Those “young votes” who are not active because of the recruitment of Dems, will get older, Lord willing. Some will go Left, but I believe the aware will go Right.
For one thing, the younger voters are pro-life. If you listen to Paul’s speeches, he’s not nearly as interested in the right to life as the right to “liberty,” which he defines as “freedom to live your life your way.” He parenthetically mentions (”as long as no one else is harmed”).
How can they not notice that even he says he’s been in Congress 26 years?
Thank you for doing this tracking.
I find it staggering that the media is telling us that Romney needs to be the candidate NOW- when just over .11 percent——just over 1/10th of a percent of the USA population has voted into these numbers!!!!!
At the little caucus where I spoke, the delegates elected were the Paul and Romney spokesmen, even though Santorum came in way ahead of Paul in the caucus.
Ahh, thanks.
Establishment: 33.3%
Conservative: 33.3%
Fringe: 33.3%
Actually, yes. Romney was not expected to win Iowa”””
A thread yesterday here at FR said that the IOWA votes were NOT certified yet & that one district vote counter chaiman said that his records showed 2 votes in his district for Mitt & the media results showed 22 votes for Mitt.
Perhaps Mitt didn’t win IOWA—perhaps Santorum did!!!
Winning all the delegates is actually less important than winning the perception of momentum going in Florida, where the GOP nomination has always been decided since 1960 or even earlier.
This is why Perry, Newt and Santorum can't wait to see how South Carolina plays out. They need to make their move NOW. Santorum is the obvious choice, not only given his overall performance thus far, but given the far greater baggage of Newt and Perry.
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