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To: AKA Elena
Stop using the polls as a gauge for ANYTHING, unless it is reflective of tens of thousands who really are legitimate voters!

It's very clear statistically that with a truly random poll, they can be quite accurate/valid with a quite small sample size.

The large polls, like the online Facebook, Twitter, AFA, Catholic's Online, Mark Levin, etc., etc., show a very different set of numbers.

All of the above "polls" are utterly worthless, because there is not even an attempt at a random sample, and have a self-selecting sample.

You really need to take a class on statistics. I continue to be utterly astounded at the complete lack of understanding of the basic concepts of polling around here. "Online" polls and "straw" polls couldn't possibly be more irrelevant.

Of course, you like the latter set of "polls" because they're much more likely to show what you want.

87 posted on 01/10/2012 7:12:46 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist
Your lecture would possibly have some legitimacy if you even appeared to know what you are talking about.

Without knowing the polling methodology, you're guessing as to validity of sample size...statistics and polling are not equivalent.

You also fail to address the second part of the statement...that since they do not state that these are likely voters, the poll is not predictive of actual results...that these are even registered voters, much less likely voters. It's a scam the LSM pulls every four years.

125 posted on 01/10/2012 8:49:46 AM PST by gogeo
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