810 posted on Tuesday, January 03, 2012 9:34:06 PM by Pappy Smear: “(MSFBU asked) Does anybody know if the later report caucus sites tend to be more or less conservative...?”
One thing I noticed on the map, Jefferson and Story Counties (Fairfield and Ames) have not reported yet. They will likely have strong Paul votes. (Jefferson was the only county Paul won in 08, and Story is home of Iowa State University, where I expect Paul would win. However, 3 NW counties which are huge social conservative counties have not reported. I would think they would be heavy Santorum and Perry support.”
Pappy Smear is right. The later counties to report are generally those in northwest Iowa, which while they may have lower populations have a stronger voice in the caucuses.
With the interesting exception of Plymouth County (just north of the metropolis of Sioux City, Iowa’s largest western city), most have gone for Santorum so far.
CNN said an hour ago that the western rural counties were in at only 3%. They are the CONSERVATIVE rural Iowa.