the results are even closer than you suggest. it’s Romney 22.7 Paul 22.4. you rounded up and down, but for all purposes they’re tied.
It all looks like it comes down to turn out. If it’s the typical older. heavily GOP turnout Romney is in good shape. If it’s younger and more indys and dems show up Palu could well win.
At this point I don’t really have a favorite. I just want to see Romney lose so anyone winning besides him would be ok with me.
I know some people are worried about Paul but Paul has no chance to be the nominee so him winning in IA doesn’t really bother me. Let him have his moment.
But after all the establishment backing him and all his attacks and spending the last 4 years running, to see Romney lose in IA again and not really do any better than he did last time...well, that would make tomorrow evening worthwhile.
Fair enough about Paul.
Yeah, Willard is doing worse than ‘08.
1. Mike Huckabee 40,841 34.4%
2. Mitt Romney 29,949 25.2%
3. F. Thompson 15,904 13.4%
4. John McCain 15,559 13.1%
I feel the same way as you do and feel that if Rhu Paul wins in VA too it is an acceptable risk and it strikes a death blow to the RINOs.