I think the key question in the Most recent Des Moines Register Poll was “who do you think has the best chance of beating Obama?” Romney won that by a landslide. I believe that will be the telling question that will make up the minds of Caucus Goers on Tuesday and the undecideds will swing decisively to Romney. Santorum has made a little splash lately, but by Caucus time, people will be reminded of his support for Pro-Abortion Arlen Spector.
I’m not too sure the “Religious Right” or “Evangelicals” in IA aren’t veering towards Santorum in the closing days, the Specter endorsement notwithstanding. He has all but taken up residence in IA, with 100 days in 2011 spent there ... significantly more than any other candidate. I really don’t see any of those voters going for Romney, whatever else they may do.
It seems they are coalescing around Santorum instead of splitting their bloc’s votes among him, Bachmann and Perry. Similar to ‘08 when they came together to hand the caucus win to Huckabee. We shall see. Much will be decided today at churches across IA.