Ron Paul would pull 6 conservative leaning votes for every 4 liberal leaning votes. Obama is the savior of liberals, they will vote for him if it hairlips the world.
It really depends on whom the GOP picks. If its Mittens maybe lots of conservatives would go Ron Paul—if its someone else—who can say? A Newt/Palin Ticket would win back conservatives. Its really all up in the air. A 3rd Party—a Tea Party—might have a better shot —but it all depends on the state of the world in early 2012. Its too early—check back in April. Lots are going to happen in the next 90 days.
Not even close. I've talked to a bunch of Ron Paul fanatics, and nowhere near 6/10 would vote for a Republican.
I doubt that 1/10 Ron Paul supporters would vote for Ronald Reagan, were he running today. They are either barking moonbats or Democrat mischief-makers (yeah, I do recognize the redundancy).
On the other hand, if Romney is the Republican candidate, Romney and Obama will have to split the commie vote, and a conservative Republican running as a third-party, TEA Party candidate would walk away with 50% or better of the total votes.