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Political Predictions for 2012 (per Karl Rove.........)
Wall Street Journal ^

Posted on 12/28/2011 5:28:47 PM PST by Sub-Driver

Political Predictions for 2012 Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid or both will leave the Democratic leadership by year's end. By KARL ROVE

As New Year's approaches, here are a baker's dozen predictions for 2012.

• Republicans will keep the U.S. House, albeit with their 25-seat majority slightly reduced. In the 10 presidential re-elections since 1936, the party in control of the White House has added House seats in seven contests and lost them in three. The average gain has been 12 seats. The largest pickup was 24 seats in 1944—but President Barack Obama is no FDR, despite what he said in his recent "60 Minutes" interview.

• Republicans will take the U.S. Senate. Of the 23 Democratic seats up in 2012, there are at least five vulnerable incumbents (Florida, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Pennsylvania): The GOP takes two or three of these. With the announcement on Tuesday that Nebraska's Ben Nelson will retire, there are now seven open Democratic seats (Connecticut, Hawaii, North Dakota, New Mexico, Virginia, Wisconsin): The GOP takes three or four. Even if Republicans lose one of the 10 seats they have up, they will have a net pickup of four to six seats, for a majority of 51 to 53. rove1229 rove1229 Associated Press

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi.

• Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Sen. Harry Reid or both will leave the Democratic leadership by the end of 2012. Speaker John Boehner and Senator Mitch McConnell will continue directing the GOP in their respective chambers.

• This will be the fourth presidential election in a row in which turnout increases. This has happened just once since 1828, from 1928 through 1940.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: rymb
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1 posted on 12/28/2011 5:28:51 PM PST by Sub-Driver
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To: Sub-Driver
I predict that I will not give any donations to the RNC Elites in 2012.
2 posted on 12/28/2011 5:33:53 PM PST by TYVets (Pure-Gas.org ..... ethanol free gasoline by state and city)
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To: Sub-Driver

R O V E = N L R (no longer relevant)


3 posted on 12/28/2011 5:35:48 PM PST by evad (STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING. It's the SPENDING Stupid)
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To: Sub-Driver

a reasonable prediction


4 posted on 12/28/2011 5:38:01 PM PST by mamelukesabre
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To: TYVets
"I predict that I will not give any donations to the RNC Elites in 2012."

I predict, based on my past performance for the past 8 years, that I will not give any donations to the RNC Elites in 2012.

I predict that I will still get calls from the RNC, thanking me for my support in the past and I predict they will get the same answer I have given them for the past 8 years.

5 posted on 12/28/2011 5:39:12 PM PST by evad (STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING. It's the SPENDING Stupid)
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To: Sub-Driver

FUKR.


6 posted on 12/28/2011 5:39:20 PM PST by manic4organic (We won. Get over it.)
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To: TYVets

I can make that same prediction about myself.

Only contributions to candidates or the local organizations that I am personally involved with.


7 posted on 12/28/2011 5:40:54 PM PST by Maine Mariner
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To: Sub-Driver

I predict that Karl Rove will be found to be in the company of Barney Frank at a DC hotel in 2012, and not for business/political reasons.


8 posted on 12/28/2011 5:41:31 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: evad

Karl Rove and his crystal balls


9 posted on 12/28/2011 5:42:26 PM PST by molson209
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To: TYVets

“I predict that I will not give any donations to the RNC Elites in 2012.”

Same here. I can’t wait for the next time the call me for a donation. Hahahahaha


10 posted on 12/28/2011 5:42:26 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Lazlo in PA

again?


11 posted on 12/28/2011 5:44:04 PM PST by Dan(9698)
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To: Sub-Driver

I predict a middle finger rise at Rove’s direction in 5,4,3,2............


12 posted on 12/28/2011 5:44:17 PM PST by advertising guy (dammit)
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To: Sub-Driver

13 posted on 12/28/2011 5:44:29 PM PST by COBOL2Java (Virginia GOP: Romney's favorite butt boys)
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To: Sub-Driver

I doubt he’s right about increased voter turnout. If he is, it will be an anti-Obama surge. BO will never get 70 m again.


14 posted on 12/28/2011 5:52:44 PM PST by gusopol3
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To: Sub-Driver; All
The economic recovery will continue to be anemic...Because of this, [Hussein] will lose as his margins drop among five groups essential to his 2008 victory—independents, women, Latinos, young people and Jews.

Fine with me, as long as Hussein loses.

15 posted on 12/28/2011 5:54:11 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Sub-Driver
This will be the fourth presidential election in a row in which turnout increases.

Increased turnout my @$$. Voter fraud IS NOT "increased turnout".

16 posted on 12/28/2011 5:54:24 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Stop BIG Government Greed!!!!!)
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I predict this thread will contain the usual mindless I hate Karl Rove rants even though his analysis is very well thought out and his predictions are good for the country.
I predict the hatred of Karl Rove will affect some people’s ability to read.


17 posted on 12/28/2011 5:55:06 PM PST by woofie (It takes three villages and a forest of woodland creatures to raise a child in Obamaville)
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To: Sub-Driver

Rove is dead to me.


18 posted on 12/28/2011 5:58:42 PM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~.. Newt/Palin-West-2012."got a lot swirling around in my head.")
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To: TYVets

I predict that I won’t, either.


19 posted on 12/28/2011 6:06:01 PM PST by seanmerc
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To: woofie

I wonder whether a Paul 3rd party would hurt Obama more than Republicans.The post here the other day said most of his Iowa support is Democrats and independents.


20 posted on 12/28/2011 6:08:41 PM PST by gusopol3
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