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Towery: Gingrich Could Be Big GOP Winner From Payroll Tax Impasse
newsmax.com ^ | 12/23/2011 | Paul Scicchitano

Posted on 12/24/2011 5:33:16 AM PST by TBBT

While some GOP leaders could face a political bruising from this week’s payroll tax debacle, one top political analyst believes that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich can turn the issue into a political plus.

“He could say ‘I took action. I didn’t kick something down the road for two months and leave it up in the air,” insists InsiderAdvantage head and pollster Matt Towery, who also holds the distinction of being Gingrich’s first debate coach.

Gingrich’s decision to allow the federal government to shut down in 1995 rather than accept a compromise to keep it open eventually led to a balanced-budget agreement in 1996.

According to Towery, the former speaker could argue that the short-term pain at the time was necessary to achieve the largest drop in federal discretionary spending in more than 25 years.

Gingrich blasted the two-month deal that was approved by the House on Friday by a voice vote, calling it a “complete failure in leadership” by President Barack Obama and Congress.

In an exclusive interview with Newsmax on Thursday, Gingrich said that House Republicans should have conducted a media blitz to make their case to the American people as to why a two-month solution was simply unworkable.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: newt; newtgingrich
One of the most respected pollsters in the United States, Towery also acknowledges that he has no confidence in the polls coming out of Iowa as of today and he anticipates a big change in positioning by Jan. 3.

“I think that Ron Paul is going to melt like a snow cone in July,” declared Towery, adding that Romney is likely to experience a strong turnout based on the strength of his political machine.

“I think that Newt Gingrich is going to rise again in the polls,” Towery also predicted. “I think you are going to see Rick Perry come on strong and Santorum come on strong.”

While the overall winner in Iowa is far from a certainty, Towery says that there is little doubt that voters will be fed up with negative advertising when the caucuses finally arrive.

“The key will be who in the world has a final message that is halfway compelling and how can they use that message to turn people out to vote for them as a legitimate nominee of the party,” he explained.

Interesting...

But then again... How can everybody "come on strong"? For one to come on strong, it generally comes at the expense of another. It's not like the economy, where you can just grow the size of the pie...

1 posted on 12/24/2011 5:33:19 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

Did RINOmney agree or disagree with the repub’s disgraceful capitulation?

Check your watch.

On even minutes, he agrees.

On odd minutes, he disagrees.


2 posted on 12/24/2011 5:39:38 AM PST by Da Coyote
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To: TBBT

“Towery says that there is little doubt that voters will be fed up with negative advertising when the caucuses finally arrive.”

MOST of the people I know are already disgusted with it. That’s all we’ve had from Obama for almost 4 years (one year of campaigning before he was elected and almost 3 years of campaigning since).

We certainly do NOT want it from our candidates. Compare policy and its outcomes. Period. THAT will make the case ... and educate some of the electorate.


3 posted on 12/24/2011 5:46:42 AM PST by SumProVita (Cogito, ergo...Sum Pro Vita. (Modified Decartes))
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To: Da Coyote

Yeah...with Romney it depends which way the political winds are blowing...apparently the party pros in Virginia are going to keep Gingrich off the primary ballot.

The Bush crowd is openly working for Romney...the media is trying to assassinate Gingrich and Paul...why even bother with an election?


4 posted on 12/24/2011 5:47:44 AM PST by kjo
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To: Da Coyote

Essentially, Romney decided not to come down either way. Said he was staying out of it...

He still has his finger in the air and said that he would get back to the nation once he had figured out which way the wind was blowing...


5 posted on 12/24/2011 5:48:35 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

Gingrich will do nothing if he is not in the important primaries...

wtf is going on???


6 posted on 12/24/2011 5:58:45 AM PST by Vaquero ("an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Da Coyote
Did RINOmney agree or disagree with the repub’s disgraceful capitulation? Check your watch. On even minutes, he agrees. On odd minutes, he disagrees

It doesn't matter the time - he just plain agrees. The time determines what he SAYS he thinks about it.

7 posted on 12/24/2011 6:04:31 AM PST by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: TBBT

So...tell me one more time...what’s the similarity between these parasites and the Tea Party?


8 posted on 12/24/2011 6:05:02 AM PST by Savage Beast (The US has a Two-Class System: The Working Class and the OccuPunks)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks TBBT.


9 posted on 12/24/2011 6:05:22 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Merry Christmas, Happy New Year! May 2013 be even Happier!)
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To: Vaquero

Numerically... It may not matter - for those campaigns that didn’t get on the ballot in VA. VA has 49 delegates out of a total of 2,286. It’s possible that the contest could come down to the wire were those 49 delegates could make a difference, but it’s unlikely...

Where this hurts the most is the news cycles that it will generate. Perception and momentum is key. Talking heads and columnist will talk for days about how this show’s that a particular candidate is not running a serious campaign, lacks money and organization, etc. The blogs will be particularly harsh. You’ll see it here on FR as well. Calls for non-favored candidates to drop out will be rampant.

Needless to say... It would have been better to get your a$$ on the ballot and avoided all that...


10 posted on 12/24/2011 6:18:03 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

That’s not really true. You “grow the size of the pie” through voter turnout. If you get a higher percentage of your people out to vote, you can win even though you don’t poll as well.


11 posted on 12/24/2011 6:34:40 AM PST by RightFighter (It was all for nothing.)
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To: Da Coyote

He Punted,Voted Present


12 posted on 12/24/2011 7:26:20 AM PST by ballplayer
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