[TBBT]

This is really blown out of proportion. Virginia is a super tuesday state. The nominee will likely be decided before then, and even if it isn’t, it’s not like Virginia will be the “decider”.

Myopia.

You are thinking only numbers. You are not taking into account the media spin and the effects it will have on perception and momentum.

For example... Look at this headline:

A campaign in tatters: Rick Perry won't be on the ballot in Virginia after failing to collect 10,000 signatures

Now what do you think the combined effect is going to be with dozens of headlines like that over the coming days? Wait til the talking heads spew the conventional wisdom - based on the above - for days on end.

[EDINVA]

As of 1:30 a.m. Saturday the state GOP had not announced whether former House Speaker Newt Gingrich had amassed the required 10,000 signatures of registered voters to appear on the ballot.

http://www2.timesdispatch.com/news/virginia-news/2011/dec/24/1/tdmain01-perry-fails-to-qualify-for-virginias-gop—ar-1565544/

As I post it’s 2:05am, and no further official word.

[JediJones]

I don’t know, the media doesn’t have much of a story if they take that angle. A Romney/Paul race is an obvious win for Romney. And if the story is, Romney is already the de facto winner, there’s no horse race to bring in ratings. The fact that only 2 candidates made the ballot while so many are still running could lend credence to the idea that it was a tough ballot to get on and maybe VA screwed something up.