South CarolinaPing
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Right now, it looks like Ron Paul will win in Iowa, primarily because in that state Democrats can switch their registration to Republican & caucus the same day. Romney should win in New Hampshire, primarily because he's been campaigning there for 6 years. However, Gingrich will "place" in both states, most likely at number two. And - most importantly - Gingrich has a significant polling leads in both South Carolina and Florida.
Thus, in my opinion, whether Gingrich can get the nomination depends upon whether his polling leads in SC & FL can survive the anti-momentum of losing in both IA and NH. I think likely they can, because:
1) Voters this year will be forced into greater thoughtfulness by our troubled economic situation, and will not simply chase momentum,
2) In South Carolina, Gingrich is better organized than he is in other states, with at least 5 offices, some of them open since October. And Newt has kept his profile high in SC, continuing his visits even in the run-up to the Iowa Caucus, and,
3) South Carolina doesn't let Democrats vote in the Republican primary, South Carolinian are too normal to vote for Paul, and they are too conservative to vote in great numbers for Romney.
We'll find out soon if I'm talking through my hat.
Sounds good to me. GO NEWT!
I just finished watching the entire video. It was well worth the time.
GO NEWT GO......
We will see what happens. I think you are right that SC is not going to vote for Paul...but SC is an open primary state. I would personally like to see Bachmann do well in Iowa and SC; but Guessing that unless she wins or places high in the first few primaries she may drop out due to funding..
Do you happen to know if C-span will be replaying this on TV? thanks.
If Paul somehow wins Iowa, it will be seen as a worthless victory. Iowans will look like idiots....again.
NH is another nothing state.
That is why people were so keen on stripping them of their place in line. They have taken too much money and time from needed contests just to stroke the egos of people that think way to much of themselves.
You’re wrong about #3...South Carolina has an open primary; you don’t have to declare a political party affiliation to cast a vote in the SC primary.
You’re wrong about #3...South Carolina has an open primary; you don’t have to declare a political party affiliation to cast a vote in the SC primary.
WHOA! FANTASTIC SPEECH! WORTH WATCHING AND GETS BETTER AND BETTER AS IT GOES! ESPECIALLY THE QUESTIONS AND ANSWER!
sfl