I would categorize your comments as “insightful”. You may be correct about the outcome in SC. Perhaps, if Paul steals one in Iowa, (Which I still highly doubt.) Romney takes New Hampshire, (Small delegate advantage) then Newt takes SC, that leaves Florida the key state in the puzzle.
And Newt is very strong in Florida. The Paulistas can’t get over 4% there.
In the Ames straw poll, all candidates except MB wanted Paul to win it so it would de-legitimize the entire thing. Paul finished second, barely behind MB, but since Paul did not win it allowed MB to gain some momentum from that.
Now her guardicil retarded moment ended all of that, but my point is this: a Paul win in Iowa makes the whole thing a joke and allows everyone a “second chance” to get off to a good start.
Since nobody cares about NH anyway this year due to Mitt’s support there, it means that SC is the real “first chance” and therefore Florida is the first BIG chance.
Just a theory of mine, not a “thus sayeth the Lord” pronouncement.