If Paul wins in Iowa and the Establishment tries to cheat him of his victory, he will do a Nader, and I can’t blame him. He is not a Perot, however. I doubt he can do anything except enable Obama to win.If tis happens, then the Tea Party is likely to spllt from the Republicans and run candidates in congressional races in 2014. In any case, the Republicans are playing with fire. Without the base, they will be back to 2006.