Reagan trailed Carter until September before the election.
Newt’s not Reagan.
Comparison to Reagan don’t cut it. The demographics have since changed, no more Cold War, and Reagan was super-telegenic that would magnetize women voters in the crucial 19-49 demographic. Check the internals of the poll. Without the independents swinging onto our side, we lose. Newt loses this key demographic in a landslide against Obama. It’s the arithmetic.
LLS