I agree. And I don't see Romney winning SC or FL.The problem is that because of RNC rules the delegates will get split for all of the primaries held before April. After that it is winner take all.
I'm hoping some clever Freeper will do an analysis of the likely impact of this on the Romney vs. Newt delegate count. Knowing nothing else it would seem to favor Romney and that may have been part of the intent of the RNC. Split the early southern delegates and let the liberal state delegates go to Romeny.
As I said: Interesting times we live in. Keep the faith.
It isn’t perfect, but I tried my best.
I am working on an even bigger project at the moment. I’m going through every single state, county, metropolitan statistical area looking at voter make-up from 2004, 2008, and 2010, trying to run a General Election simulation. That one is probably going to take several weeks, but I hope to have it completed before the Iowa Caucuses. It’s slanted towards the Anti-Romney candidate.