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Huntsman is out after New Hampshire. They will all be broke. Paul will also be a non factor after NH.

That will leave Perry,Newt and Mitt. Then we can start talking.

Money means nothing this time around. Perry had all kinds of money and it couldn't stop his descent, Romney has bucketfuls of cash and he's now starting to go backwards. Meanwhile Gingrich's campaign (and Cain prior to him) weren't rolling in cash but still climbed to the top. The others are getting all kinds of exposure through the debates and through the internet.

Even Huntsman, who was dropped from the last debate, is still making the rounds of the talk shows.

The only way the field will narrow is if they start being ignored in the debates and by the media. What's going to have to happen is the debates are going to have to start shedding candidates. Huntsman was not invited to the debate last week, and I've heard that Santorum may not be invited to a future debate or two, and possibly the next two people in line after him as well.

In a way it's good. No longer does it mean that we get stuck with candidates who can spend their way into contention. On the other hand, it means that some candidates can hang around far longer, which can be good and bad depending on the candidate.

It's tight as far as time though. Romney is like a ship that ran into three icebergs by the names of Bachmann, Perry, and Cain, and none of them could make him take on water, they just slowed him down. He's now run into an iceberg by the name of Gingrich and finally he's taking on some water.

If this were 20 years ago, things would be a lot different, and I think Romney would be doing a lot better. Thank God for the Tea Party movement and for the internet.

Except we haven't even done Iowa yet. Everyone moves and shakes until Iowa is over. How do you pay staff or even have any organization in any state? You can't.

After Iowa Bachmann and Santorum will be gone although Bachmann could hang around. Santorum isn't going to keep fighting so he will drop and his voters will look elsewhere just like Cain's did.

Perry could very well pull 3rd in Iowa with Romney 4th or 5th. Pull a bad showing in New Hampshire and lose South Carolina and Florida. It's all about momentum and although you may not believe it, Newt has yet to be vetted. Newt's vetting will be a drip drip drip and as Perry sharpens his debates, and he already has done so since the "oops" gaffe, Newt will lose soft support to Perry. Eventually Newt will have to spend money or make money. Staffers want to get paid.

I could actually see Newt doing poorly in Iowa for the simple reason he has no ground game. No one to drag his supporters to the polls. What then?