Iran flat doesn’t have the naval and air assets to go against the entire Gulf Cooperation Council and our military assets.
We have a huge military presence in Bahrain and Kuwait and Iran would lose much more than they would ever gain.
Remember, their Bushehr reactor and their only gasoline distillery are a one hour mission time from being smoking craters along with all their export terminals.
There is a covert, proxy war going on in Iran now that has their shaky dual-government on the ropes now.
I don't know about PROXY but it's certainly covert.
Somebody keeps blowing up all the Iranian sh!t and nobody knows who, or how.
The Iranians are very nervous and jumping at every sound. I'm guessing they've been on FULL alert for at least a month.
More likely than air time to target of any attack on an Iranian refinery in retaliation for its attempts to harm the flow of oil would be ship or submarine launched missiles, IMHO.