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To: BunnySlippers

Which primaries do you think Perry can actually win?

He’s in single digits everywhere right now and has done nothing to trend upwards. He’s gonna have to do a lot more than pull out a copy of the constitution.


845 posted on 12/04/2011 7:17:49 AM PST by AdamBomb
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To: AdamBomb

True. I’m just asking if the polls shift, that you consider him.

It’s early.


846 posted on 12/04/2011 7:24:30 AM PST by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: AdamBomb

Can someone confirm:

In the last 4 presidential primary seasons, did any primary candidate who was polling over 25% but after debating at least once went down to near single digits ever recover to rise up above 25% again?

That seems to be an unlikely situation.

-Gingrich has risen as a result of scrutiny.
-Those who have bursted up high fell under scrutiny (Perry, Bachmann, Cain).
-Romney won’t really allow scrutiny because he is always on script and refuses to reveal how he actually feels about anything (except when he expresses disdain at scrutiny).
-Paul can’t get traction despite 5 years of scrutiny.
-Santorum and Huntsman have not caught on despite scrutiny even though the volatility gave them plenty of chances to break through.


848 posted on 12/04/2011 7:35:40 AM PST by Notwithstanding (1998 ACU ratings: Newt=100%, Paul=88%, Santorum=84% [the last year all were in Congress])
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