That was a pool of under 400 registered Republicans. Quite a bit different from this poll which sampled around 1200 and was of LIKELY caucus goers. Newt may be ahead in some polls but this isn’t legitimate enough to use as an example. Of course “national” doesn’t really matter. It’s individual states that count.
Cindie
The poll being discussed in this thread was as follows:
“and surveyed 979 registered Republicans and 277 registered independents. Of those polled, 377 (30.0 percent) stated that they definitely or probably would attend the Republican caucus on Tuesday, Jan. 3.”
So it’s 377 likely voters. It’s also a 13-day poll starting November 1st, so it won’t have caught the downtrend, or Gingrich’s upswing. And it shows that only 16% are committed to their pick; most say they are undecided, and the rest are only mildly interested in their choice.