I thought I made it clear. My barometer is fund raising not polls. I guess you missed that in my very short post.
If Cain wins Iowa, which he is currently poised to do, he could very well win the nomination.
The only thing you made clear is, you are no expert on American politics.
Cain surged for no real reason other than voter panic, in the first place. He was launched to the top first and then the fools who made that possible started seeing how inept he truly is.
Cain also blew it on his own accord. Don’t expect his fund raising to go much higher than it is now. His 15 minutes of fame is 1 hour over.