SC is a lot blacker and more Christian than Florida. One would think that would play in Cain’s favor. My biggest concern about Florida is Rubio endorsing Romney at the last minute. I hope that doesn’t happen, but my gut tells me it will.
I would guess that most SC blacks are Democrat, so that probably wouldn’t help or hurt Cain. I don’t recall, is SC an open primary? If so, that will be a factor.
Yeah, Rubio could be the one to tip the nomination, much like Crist did for McCain.
Every other poll has had Cain stronger in SC than in FL.
If the same company polls both using the same method, Cain comes out stronger in SC than FL.
This company is using a different sampling method, which has produced an outlier. We’d expect, if they polled Florida to see Cain down 10.