[erod]

Just curious to hear you’re reasoning on why the GOP will take the Senate next year. That would be awesome, don’t get me wrong, but why does it seem to be the safe bet right now?

[DTxAg]

Just curious to hear you’re reasoning on why the GOP will take the Senate next year. That would be awesome, don’t get me wrong, but why does it seem to be the safe bet right now?

Dems had a good year in 2006, which means a bunch are up for reelection in 2012. Something like 22 or 23 of the 33 Senate races involve Dem-held seats, so it's a good year to replace a bunch of Dem Senators with Republican Senators.

[freespirited]

Intrade folks have GOP chances of taking the Senate at 73%.

Unfortunately they also predict Romney will be the GOP nominee—he’s at around 70.

[vette6387]

“Just curious to hear you’re reasoning on why the GOP will take the Senate next year”

Well, for starters there are twice as many RAT seats up for re-election than Republicans and all of the Republicans appear, at this point in time to be assured of re-election. Contrast that with the RATs who have six (Cook says 9) of their seats that are rated as “tossups” today, with another five seats that are only “Leans D.” But don’t take my word for it. Check out Charlie Cook or Larry Sabato’s websites. These guys are doing the research. The Republicans only need a couple of seats to take control.
Check out here :http://cookpolitical.com/races/senate/ratings.php