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Soaring Delinquency Rates Could Crush The New York City Housing Markets
Business Insider ^ | 11/01/2011 | Keith Jurow, Minyanville

Posted on 11/01/2011 8:52:02 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

New York is the largest city and the most misunderstood housing market in the nation.

Sellers think that the market in New York has held up rather well and ask a lot for their property.

Most buyers look at the listing price, laugh and just walk away.

The result has been very low sales volume at prices that cause many analysts to shake their head in bewilderment.

This report is written to help both buyers and sellers. If you are a potential buyer, you will learn why you need to be extremely careful to avoid overpaying on a property.

If you are an active or potential seller, you will learn why asking prices throughout NYC are too high and why you must carefully determine a listing price that will actually entice buyers.

How the New York City Bubble Developed

The housing bubble that formed in NYC was 10 years in the making. From 1996 through 2006, the number of annual mortgage purchase loans originated for those claiming to be owner-occupants doubled. This terrific chart from a 2007 report put out by the Furman Center for Real Estate & Urban Policy shows what occurred.

It is important to note that this does not include mortgages originated for the purchase of investment properties. Speculation during the key years of 2004-2006 was rampant throughout the Big Apple.

In 2005, the National Association of Realtors released the results of its annual home buyer survey which found that in 2004, 23% of all purchases were for investment and another 13% were “vacation homes.” Clearly, the total number of purchase mortgages originated during these three bubble years in NYC was much higher than the Furman Center’s figures.

Fraudulent mortgage applications were also widespread in the midst of the bubble.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: corruption; deadrealestate; decades; delinquency; goodriddance; housing; newyorkcity

1 posted on 11/01/2011 8:52:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Notice that during 2004-2006, the median size of a first lien for purchasing was more than $300,000. How could so many New Yorkers afford these huge loans? There were several reasons, but one of the most important was the growing availability of what became known as “piggy-back” second liens.
2 posted on 11/01/2011 8:53:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (u)
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To: SeekAndFind

most people might laugh and walk away. but the euro money apparently doesn’t. New Yorker’s aren’t stupid.


3 posted on 11/01/2011 8:54:16 AM PDT by the invisib1e hand (...then they came for the guitars, and we kicked their sorry faggot asses into the dust)
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To: SeekAndFind

Banks offered these second liens to homeowners who couldn’t afford or did not want to put 20% down. The growing use of piggy-back second mortgages enabled a substantial number of purchasers to buy a NYC property with little or nothing down. By 2006, 28% of all home purchases involved a piggy-back second lien.

Contrary to a widespread view, these piggy-back second mortgages went mainly to middle and upper income buyers. The Furman Center report showed that while only 3% of all borrowers in 2006 with incomes under $50,000 obtained a piggy-back second lien, more than 20% of all buyers with incomes over $50,000 used a piggy-back loan to finance the property.
4 posted on 11/01/2011 8:54:20 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (u)
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t know about “crushed,” but I wouldn’t pay a dollar for a house in NYC. I guess you can start the bidding there.


5 posted on 11/01/2011 8:54:59 AM PDT by Larry Lucido
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To: Larry Lucido

I can’t begin to understand the “values” in Chicago, let alone NYC.

We really do have “two Americas” , but not in the way loverboy Edwards meant.


6 posted on 11/01/2011 8:57:33 AM PDT by nascarnation (DEFEAT BARAQ 2012 DEPORT BARAQ 2013)
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To: SeekAndFind

Even if you don't pay rent. LOL!
7 posted on 11/01/2011 8:58:06 AM PDT by TSgt (Legal Disclaimer: View my profile at your own risk)
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To: Larry Lucido

I bid 99cents


8 posted on 11/01/2011 8:59:41 AM PDT by mamelukesabre
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Comment #9 Removed by Moderator

To: SeekAndFind
"Editor’s Note: The following is an excerpt from Keith Jurow’s just-released New York City Housing Market Report.

For the complete, in-depth analysis and report, download it here."

I think they should disclose that you can BUY the report and download it! It's not free!

We are looking to buy a new house and have been since 2006 but they just keep getting cheaper. This could be useful information but I'm certainly not willing to pay for it!

10 posted on 11/01/2011 9:05:28 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: SeekAndFind

Does not help when the Governor and Mayor invite the sort of people who actually have the cash to make these purchases (i.e. Rush Limbaugh) to catch the first Pullman car out of Dodge.


11 posted on 11/01/2011 9:19:39 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind
Most of the outer boroughs of NYC are heavily immigrant and minority. The banks were under tremendous pressure to make these loans, and I suspect that a high % of borrowers were outright defrauded..they had NO idea what they were signing/doing..

When it collapses, it will NOT be pretty..these people will lose EVERYTHING.

NYC doesn't really have a middle class anymore..people may be "middle class" byt heir income, but the incredibly high cost of everything in NYC leaves almost NO discretionary income after basic expenses. You have the very rich, the midle class poor, as I call them, and those way below the poverty line..

12 posted on 11/01/2011 9:25:35 AM PDT by ken5050 (Cain/Gingrich 2012!!! because sharing a couch with Pelosi is NOT the same as sharing a bed with her)
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13 posted on 11/01/2011 9:59:57 AM PDT by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC BY DONATING NOW! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: onyx

Do not understand why anyone would want to live, let alone buy, in New York.


14 posted on 11/01/2011 10:09:52 AM PDT by Seanm (PANDER: Obama now opposes repealing healthcare program he suspended last week... DIRTY: Says Republ)
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To: Seanm

NYC is exciting and I can see the draw, but I wouldn’t want to live there and I couldn’t afford to buy or rent!

Plus, I need warm weather and lots of sun!


15 posted on 11/01/2011 10:12:50 AM PDT by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC BY DONATING NOW! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: ken5050

The biggest single expense in New York is taxes. All other expenditures you can find deals.


16 posted on 11/01/2011 10:32:35 AM PDT by outpostinmass2
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To: outpostinmass2

Absolutely...FWH, SWH, CWH, FICA, FUTA, all the rest..easily a 50% haircut for almost everyone..


17 posted on 11/01/2011 11:05:59 AM PDT by ken5050 (Cain/Gingrich 2012!!! because sharing a couch with Pelosi is NOT the same as sharing a bed with her)
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