From Wiki on Nate Silver (and he was Pablano at KOS)
The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictionshe correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 stateswon Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by 0.9%. He also correctly predicted the winner of all 35 Senate races that year.
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We should keep an eye on him;)
I posted earlier that Silver seemed quite boxed in by his set understanding of what constituted campaign "fundamentals."
He actually was pretty open to the fact that he wasn't sure these old indicators still applied. What I meant, however, was he seemed stumped as to what new indicators were taking their place.
Some of the things I think will become the new non-polling fundamentals: direct fundraising (grassroots donations directly to the candidate's website); earned media appearances and views, including clips viewed and linked on the internet; talk radio mentions. For starters.