The 95% was 3 yrs ago - things have changed. One of my sons, a long hauler, talks with blacks across the country on a daily basis. He sees a sea change in blacks as to Obama from 3 yrs ago.
That would be good news if true. My experience is very different. I talk to some of my co-workers who happen to be black, all college-educated, go to church on Sundays, all of them are veterans, etc. They should be conservative voters. You think they would’ve gotten it by now, but nope, they haven’t. Hope and delusions die hard.
Basically, they have stopped gushing about Obama and are very quiet about it, but they seemed inclined to vote for him out of some misguided ethnic loyalty anyway.
I think black voter turn-out will be down, but it will still be in the 90% range for Obama.
I heard the same thing from a truck driver I know just a few weeks ago. He works with whites, blacks, Hispanics etc. and he said that the black people he knows are not happy with Obama.