By Jack David
Muammar Qaddafi is dead. What significance does that fact have? Several observations and questions come to mind.
First, few in Libya and virtually no one elsewhere will mourn his passing. Libya is rid of its vicious tyrannical leader and the world is rid of a terrorist and sponsor of terrorism.
Second, will the defeat and death of Qaddafi be instructive to other tyrants say, those in Syria, Iran, or North Korea? What lessons will they take from Qaddafis demise? An optimist might say that one lesson for the tyrants is that oppressed people may rise up if given a chance, with lethal consequences for the oppressor. But a more likely response of the tyrants still in power would be to prevent the oppressed from ever having the chance of rising up against them. And, of course, the tyrants in Syria, Iran, and North Korea must ask themselves whether the oppressed Libyans would have had a chance of toppling Qaddafi without Western support air cover and intelligence and aid and whether that support would have been forthcoming had Qaddafi had WMD and the means of delivering it. More likely than not, the tyrants of the world will see Qaddafis defeat and elimination as more evidence that he was foolish to give up his nuclear and other WMD programs in the middle of the last decade.
Third, the defeat and death of Qaddafi cannot be viewed as a triumph of Western policy in general and U.S. policy in particular. President Obama called for Qaddafis ouster early in the conflict and then did nothing about it, never asking Congress for authority to use force, refusing to target Qaddafi himself, and then refusing to acknowledge that he was being targeted when NATO clearly was doing so even insisting that the U.S. was not engaged in hostilities in Libya. The dallying and confusion of the Western response will be remembered just as much as the fact of Qaddafis demise.
Finally, Qaddafis death is not relevant to whether the so-called Arab Spring really is a spring in Libya. Reports that al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb secured Qaddafis weapons for their own future terrorist efforts and related reports that they are seeking a role in Libyas future are worrisome. Libyas transitional authorities this month prevented exiled Libyan Jew David Gerbi from reopening Tripolis synagogue and then forced him to flee the country. This too is very discouraging. And the Draft Constitutional Charter of the Libyan opposition promises in Article 1 of its general provisions that the principal legislation is Islamic Jurisprudence (Sharia) also discouraging. It suggests that the Qaddafi dictatorship may well be followed by a new authoritarian regime that is hostile to the West, not a liberal, democratic one.
In short, while Qaddafis demise without a torturous trial is cause to be pleased, it is no evidence that we can be less vigilant about threats to U.S. and Western interests from post-spring Libya.
He left out Cuba and Venezuela.
They already have demonstrated their hostility by refusing to return the Lockerbie Bomber in exchange for NATO help.
The more things change, the more they remain the same. The Arab Spring will turn out to be our Arab nightmare as more and more Arab countries are taken over by Muslim Fundamentalists who have no respect for life and use Islam as a way to enforce their rule. Even Turkey, the once secular country now is being turned into an Islamic state by its Prime Minister Erdogan. Ataturk must be rolling over in his grave. All is bad news for the U.S.