If Romney is our nominee... See my tagline.
In my view, a Romney win of the R nomination essentially guarantees a 3rd party challenger from the right.
That’s why I think the Dems will work hard to put Mitty in via crossover votes in open primary states. If I can figure this out, I think Axlegrease and Plouffe can too.
I believe Baraq will get 42% of the vote in either scenario. Enough for a landslide defeat in a 2-way race or a Clintonian plurality win in a 3-way.