If you add all the rest (except maybe Huntsman), the TEA Party has at least 70% and last I looked that beat 20 — 30 by a LOT. (Using words the brilliant can understand.)
I know Rick Perry is far from solid with the TEA Party, but the things he's currently saying mostly appeal to the TEA Party too excepting immigration which is a pretty big deal. It remains true that making DC irrelevant, getting rid of the UN, drilling here, now, and everywhere are pretty popular with all of us and some of us don't know about some of his earlier positions...
Bottom line we win 70% to 30% minimum unless we splinter.
FYI posted on Drudge Palin changed her status on facebook from Republican to conservative. I think she’s done with the GOP.