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CIS and the Texas Immigrant-Job Myth
National Review ^
| 10/10/2011
| Chuck DeVore
Posted on 10/10/2011 4:59:15 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross
There is no reason to believe that 81 percent of new jobs were filled by immigrants in Texas.
The Texas Public Policy Foundation (TPPF) has released a detailed rejoinder to a well-publicized study by the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) that made a remarkable claim: “Of jobs created in Texas since 2007, 81 percent were taken by newly arrived immigrant workers (legal and illegal).”
Put simply, CIS used faulty methodology to make its main point. It compared a net increase in jobs in Texas over a four-year period with a gross increase in employed newly arrived immigrants in Texas.
This is truly an apples-to-oranges comparison; it is as if a report claimed that Google is a larger company than Apple because its market capitalization of $162 billion exceeds Apple’s annual revenues of $100 billion.
In addition, CIS estimated that fully half of all newly arrived immigrants to Texas were illegally in America. While a case that these number are off can be made using Department of Homeland Security data showing that the number of illegal immigrants getting new jobs in Texas (60,000) was less than half that claimed in the CIS report (153,880), the more important issue is the flawed methodology that led to the report’s most widely reported claim.
It is true that Texas had a nation-leading net of 279,000 more jobs in the second quarter of 2011 than it did in the second quarter of 2007. But CIS’s claim that immigrants filled 225,000 of these jobs is wrong. There is no way to determine — statistically or otherwise — that this is the case. The numbers are simply not comparable. Looking at the total number of jobs created in our dynamic and complex economy shows the fault of this claim.
Every month, about 4 million jobs turn over in the United States because of workers’ leaving to take a better job, retiring, being laid off, and because of corporate restructuring, bankruptcies, etc. Texas’s share of this natural churn is about 320,000 jobs every month. During the last four years, this meant that more than 15 million jobs have been filled. Additionally, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that during this time Texas created 5,627,328 new jobs while shedding 5,348,238 existing jobs. If an immigrant changed jobs four or five times during that four-year period, filled four or five of those 15 million jobs. That doesn’t mean he was holding four or five jobs at once, or that every job filled by an immigrant represents a new immigrant in a new permanent job. The number of jobs filled is much larger than the number of new jobs created.
TPPF’s detailed response can be seen here. We point out that trying to draw conclusions about immigration and employment in Texas in isolation from other factors is problematic at best. Texas has a strong job-creation record as compared with the nation as a whole. This record is not only affected by immigration, but also by domestic migration (781,542 Americans moved to Texas in the past decade while 1.5 million moved out of New York and 328,695 moved out of Massachusetts, artificially holding the latter states’ unemployment rate down while increasing it for Texas), the effect of extended unemployment insurance on workers’ willingness to accept new employment or move in search of work, and by the dynamics of business creation.
TPPF contends that Texas’s record of job creation is due to low state spending and taxes, a predictable, low level of regulation, and strong property-rights protection, a sound civil-justice system, and minimal dependence on — or interference from — the federal government. These policies benefit Texans, as well as people who decide to move to Texas from other states and from other countries.
TOPICS: Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; camarota; cis; cisexposed; heartless; hitjobbyrinonr; jobs; krikorian; markkrikorian; stevenacamarota; texas
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Chuck DeVore highlights what has already been exposed at FR multiple times - the well-publicized CIS study used faulty (with intent?) methodology.
To: FromTheSidelines; txroadkill
To: Servant of the Cross
3
posted on
10/10/2011 5:09:15 AM PDT
by
Netizen
(Path to citizenship = Scamnesty. If you give it away, more will come. Who's pilfering your wallet?)
To: Servant of the Cross
Almost all the criticisms of Perry fail under critical analysis except one: he can’t articulate that critical analysis himself.
In this election, that is a critical flaw.
People don’t want another mumbler like Bush, who stared passively at the camera while the liberals threw sh*t in his face.
That’s Cain’s main advantage. He’s a conservative how can articulate. Romney can articulate too, but he’s no conservative; and he articulates out both sides of his mouth.
4
posted on
10/10/2011 5:09:15 AM PDT
by
samtheman
(Palin. In your heart you know she's right.)
To: spectre; truthkeeper; processing please hold; antceecee; navymom1; jaredt112; Edgerunner; ...
5
posted on
10/10/2011 5:13:41 AM PDT
by
bcsco
(A vote for Cain will cure the Pain!)
To: samtheman
To: samtheman
People don’t want another mumbler like Bush, who stared passively at the camera while the liberals threw sh*t in his face. At times, Perry makes G.W. Bush sound like Sir Lawrence Olivier.
7
posted on
10/10/2011 5:53:20 AM PDT
by
montag813
To: samtheman
Yes, we prefer a mumbler like Obama. /s
8
posted on
10/10/2011 6:18:42 AM PDT
by
mylife
(The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
To: Servant of the Cross
Purposely faulty with intent? Hardly. CIS might have been more careful to point out that 80% of the NET jobs went to immigrants... that’s basically the flaw that TPPF is pouncing on. Mark Krikorian, the author of the CIS study, is also a regular contributor to National Review, and frequently “corrects” his more moderate/establishment types at NR.
9
posted on
10/10/2011 6:25:12 AM PDT
by
dangus
To: Servant of the Cross
You conclude correctly that it’s faulty with intent. People need to do their research. They do have an agenda and people should be aware of it.
10
posted on
10/10/2011 6:27:48 AM PDT
by
CajunConservative
( Leadership. It is defined by action, not position.)
To: Servant of the Cross
By the way, since y’all are such a big fan of Texas Public Policy Foundation, you should read what they had to say Bilingual Education.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2789004/posts
MY title: How bilingual education is destroying Texas schools. See, in Texas most blacks do better than blacks in other states. Most whites do better than whites in other states. But yet their schools rank miserably. Why? Because of Governor Perry’s insistant on keeping Hispanic kids in segregated, Spanish-only classrooms.
11
posted on
10/10/2011 6:29:03 AM PDT
by
dangus
To: mylife
I thought we were in the primary. I thought we were choosing who is to go up against Obama.
And BTW, Obama isn’t a mumbler, he’s a stutterer. But he’s got the media being him 100%.
Republicans never do. Republicans have 100% of the liberal media against them and 75% of Fox “News” against them.
12
posted on
10/10/2011 6:43:17 AM PDT
by
samtheman
(Palin. In your heart you know she's right.)
To: dangus
From the article ....
Put simply, CIS used faulty methodology to make its main point. It compared a net increase in jobs in Texas over a four-year period with a gross increase in employed newly arrived immigrants in Texas.
This is truly an apples-to-oranges comparison; it is as if a report claimed that Google is a larger company than Apple because its market capitalization of $162 billion exceeds Apple’s annual revenues of $100 billion.
Mark Krikorian? Nope. By Steven A. Camarota, Ashley Monique Webster
Someone was influenced to do this untruthful spin on the summary language of the study. The summary conclusions were wrong. I smell the Romney MO.
To: FromTheSidelines
To: Servant of the Cross
Mark Krikorian is the executive director of CIS, which is responsible for the work of its lead researcher, Steven A Camarota. I presume Ashley Monique Webster is a newer researcher.
15
posted on
10/10/2011 7:34:37 AM PDT
by
dangus
To: Servant of the Cross
The only thing I would say about CIS’ political preference, is that they are strictly an immigration issues think tank. While Krikorian is a dedicated Christian, as an organization, they do not get involved with abortion, gun rights or any other issue.
16
posted on
10/10/2011 7:38:03 AM PDT
by
dangus
To: bcsco
WOW .. lots of links there. I hope this means that this is gaining traction and Obama / Holder will be brought to justice sooner than later.
Thanks for the pings. They are GREATLY appreciated.
17
posted on
10/10/2011 7:52:11 AM PDT
by
Munz
(All tyranny needs to gain a foothold is for people of good conscience to remain silent.)
To: Munz
It’s been like this for the past couple weeks. F&F has been fueling the volume. I’m hoping this means it’s gaining legs in the MSM...
18
posted on
10/10/2011 7:56:28 AM PDT
by
bcsco
(A vote for Cain will cure the Pain!)
To: Servant of the Cross
Well well, what a surprise...;) Good thing I called this one a while ago when it came out (of course, I got called a few choice words from the CIS study supporters - I wonder if they’ll apologize, too!)
19
posted on
10/10/2011 8:06:25 AM PDT
by
FromTheSidelines
("everything that deceives, also enchants" - Plato)
To: 1_Inch_Group; 2sheep; 2Trievers; 3AngelaD; 3pools; 3rdcanyon; 4Freedom; 4ourprogeny; 7.62 x 51mm; ..
20
posted on
10/10/2011 8:43:18 AM PDT
by
HiJinx
("Family values donÂ’t stop at the Gulf of Aden." Flag_This)
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