He has lost independents... he has lost women... he has lost much of his white guilt support... pain is more powerful than PC... and Americans just do not like him any longer. He will get the black vote and the gay vote and the leftist of all flavors vote... but it will not be enough for him to even show... unless... the republican blue blood elite get their man romney in the catbird seat... then many sit out the election and obama wins in a landslide. That is what you should be concerned about IMHO.
Obama won’t win in a landslide if Mitty gets the R nomination.
His win will look like this:
Baraq 42%
Mitty 37%
Tea Party 21%
A Clintonian plurality like 1992.