He may still get 90 percent of active voting blacks, but that is out of 80 percent of eligible black voters as opposed to 90 percent of 95 percent of active black voters.
It will make a difference.
I don’t see that many blacks sitting out when the time comes. If you are right, then it could make a difference. I think his bigger losses we be independents and Hispanics.
Yep, it’s mathematic reality. A few will wake up and vote Republican but many will stay home - and that will indeed make a difference.