Posted on 09/19/2011 7:15:17 PM PDT by freespirited
exas Gov. Rick Perry has the momentum now, but the calendar may give rival Mitt Romney an advantage over the front-runner if the primary battle for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination turns into a marathon hunt for delegates.
Thanks to the way the party’s primary contests are spread out next year — and the historical tendencies of GOP voters to favor past candidates — the former Massachusetts governor could hold a distinct edge in the big, delegate-rich states that vote later in the process.
“Mitt definitely gets the advantage if the nomination gets decided by big moderate states like California, New York and Pennsylvania that vote in May or June,” said Mary Ann Meloy, a former Reagan White House aide and a behind-the-scenes power in Pennsylvania GOP politics who is undecided on the GOP contest.
“The way the primaries are scheduled this time adds to the Romney edge,” added veteran pollster John McLaughlin.
Even if one candidate managed to win every delegate in every contest beginning with the Feb. 6 Iowa caucuses, the Feb. 14 New Hampshire primary, the Feb. 18 Nevada caucuses and the Feb. 28 South Carolina primary, he or she could not attain a majority of delegates until moderate New York and Pennsylvania vote on April 24 — by which time at least 1,223 delegates will have been elected.
With states still jockeying over their places on the primary calendar, that date could move up to April 3 if four other states hold their contests on March 6, Super Tuesday, but even that would still be a month later than it took in 2008 to settle the GOP nomination.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
I voted for Mittens in the last presidential primary in Arizona. I had just about all of Juan McCain I could take. That night, as I watched the results come in, they announced Mittens had taken his ball and gone home. I won’t vote for him a second time and I don’t care when they have the primary.
this is the most backassward article I have ever read.
Nothing could be further from the truth than to say that having all the liberal states vote last helps Romney!
lol
um... there are two things ... momentum and money which makes this the stupidest article ive read in quite awhile.
If Rick Perry racks up all the early states and sweeps or nearly sweeps Super Tuesday, it's over period, because all the money and momentum will swing to him. The other thing that will help Perry is when the other conservatives start dropping out, their support will move to Perry with the exception of Huntsmans 1%.
I don't know if I read that wrong but did you classify Huntsman as a Conservative?
no, I mean everyone else is very conservative and their support will shift to Perry, while Huntsmans is liberal and his support will shift to Romney.
Pennsylvania GOP = RINO
By and large...
Go Romney...or Perry
There are two things I know for sure.
Mr. Hallow writes from inside the beltway.
They like Mitt Romney inside the beltway and have annointed him as the GOP nominee in 2012.
Are all the candidates in the race and the primary schedule a manipulation to help Romney win the nomination?
We shall see??????????
If Romney wins the nomination, we’re screwed.
Obama will win!
So I guess we’re screwed either way.
No, if the mittens is the nominee, we the people vote the downj ticket candiates to establish a Tea Party majority, then toss the anti-Maerican batards out in two years. Mittens then is only a minor obstacle we stomp on as we take back AMerica.
You’re dreaming!
I MAY have to dream with you.
Ya know, if I didn’t have grandkids, I would have such a laugh.
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