Neither the primary nor the general election is going to turn on whether Rick Perry wants to build a fence in the middle of the Rio Grande. It isn't going to have anything to do with Merk or gardasil and it certainly isn't going to have anything to do with tuition at Texas state universities. The race is not to the swift, neither is it to the glib.
Perry is going to win both contests because he is the most conservative plausible candidate in a conservative year. The successful conservative Governor of Texas beats the one-and -done progressive Governor of Massachusetts going away. He also beats the failed radical left-wing President. It's that simple.
I follow your line of reasoning and say the person who wins the Presidency this election is the one who most Americans really believe will deliver a better economy, specifically, a lower unemployment rate.
I can’t believe the majority of Americans will think that’s Obama, but who knows. I couldn’t believe they elected a man like him in the first place.