Sad, but Obama is going to get 45% of the vote in 2012 no matter what. That is basically his floor. Not so much because many of those that will vote for him like him too terribly much, rather it is because they are terrified of Republicans. Democrats play the victim and identity politics game very well and have the vast majority of the media to assist them to this end.
Excellent point! The Obama fan club (blacks in particular) have come to be terrified of Republicans. I hear it every day. Herman Cain does not speak for African Americans; Al Sharpton speaks for them.