[rmlew]

Here are some other interesting facts from the poll:
Turner's winning in a heavily Democratic district for two reasons: a huge lead with independents and a large amount of crossover support. He's ahead by 32 points at 58-26 with voters unaffiliated with either major party. And he's winning 29% of the Democratic vote, holding Weprin under 60% with voters of his own party, while losing just 10% of Republican partisans.

Obama trails Mitt Romney 46-42 in a hypothetical match up in the district and leads Rick Perry only 44-43.

The issue of Israel does appear to be having a major impact on this race. A plurality of voters- 37%- said that Israel was 'very important' in determining their votes. Turner is winning those folks by an amazing 71-22 margin. With everyone who doesn't say Israel is a very important issue for them Weprin actually leads 52-36

Turner is in fact winning the Jewish vote by a 56-39 margin, very unusual for a Republican candidate.

It is a shame the PPP is not also looking at how Blacks, Latinos, Asians and White Catholics are voting. I suspect that Turner has the White Catholic vote, but Weprin has the non-white vote.

[ari-freedom]

Non whites aren’t going to go out of their way to vote for a white Jewish guy who supports gays in a special election.

[AuH2ORepublican]

PPP did present results by race or ethnicity in its (very comprehensive) crosstabs, but you have to click on the link for full results.

The district is mostly white Anglo, with a Hispanic minority, some Asians, and very few blacks or others. PPP found that Turner beat Weprin by 54%-39% among white Anglos, the two candidares tied at 37% among Hispanics (which the cross-tabs reveal to consider Israel as a “very important issue” at a higher rate than do the district’s white Anglos—maybe there are a lot of Hispanic Jews in the district), and Weprin leads only among the smaller Asian group (49%-32%) and “other” (mostly black, I would guess) group (55%-33%).