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Tuesday's Market Preview Is Not Pretty: El-Erian
CNBC ^ | 09/05/11 | Mohamed El-Erian

Posted on 09/05/2011 4:32:44 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

Tuesday's Market Preview Is Not Pretty: El-Erian

Published: Monday, 5 Sep 2011 | 1:51 PM ET

By: Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and Co-CIO, Pimco

To state the obvious, it is shaping up to be a difficult return for U.S. markets after the Labor Day break as European stock plunge and the European Central Bank (ECB) loses some of the control it has been exercising on the Euro-zone's sovereign bond market.

The best way to understand what is going on is through the following simplified sequence: banks-sovereigns-policies.

Specifically:

· Banks stocks led the debacle on European bourses Monday, with drops of some 5-12 percent in a single day.

· With so many European banks holding so much European government debt on their balance sheets, the dramatic sell-off in their shares reflects mounting pressures in the sovereign bond markets.

· Several records have been set today, from a 92 percent annualized yield on very short-dated (6-month) Greek bonds to the risk spreads on Italian and Spanish CDS (credit default swaps).

· But an important element of the story is elsewhere. It has to do with the ECB's ability to influence the yield on the Italian ten-year bond.

· For a while, outright ECB purchases of Italian bonds on the secondary market had succeeded in keeping that yield at or below the 5 percent level for the "old" Italian ten-year benchmark bond. In recent days, however, the yield has migrated upwards and today it touched some 5.5 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dowfutures; elerian; eu; eustockmarket; sovereigndebt; stock
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To: winner3000

Fox Business Network on TV.
BTW, it was more than 250 down at last check.
But it didn’t take much sleuthing to come up with this, which says it’s now down 236.
http://dowfutures.org/


21 posted on 09/05/2011 6:52:24 PM PDT by Past Your Eyes (I'm sticking with Herman. No more second terms!)
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To: Past Your Eyes

“Is this guy preparing me for some real bad news?”

Not only is Greece at it again, but Obama wants to invade Switzerland.

This is weird. I’ve never prayed for enemy guerrillas before.


22 posted on 09/05/2011 7:00:50 PM PDT by BlazingArizona
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To: FlingWingFlyer

The message is clear.

Combining the turbulence in the markets (oh no, I’m losing MY 401K) and the threats from Obammie and his Commies (includes the communionists), the response they are demanding is:

“OH NO. WE’D BETTER STIMULATE THE ECONOMY WITH QE3. AND MOST OF THAT MONEY BETTER GO TO THE UNIONS, ESPECIALLY THE GOVERNMENT UNIONS!!”


23 posted on 09/05/2011 7:20:27 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (Prepare for survival.)
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To: apoliticalone

You’re right.

But I’d say your stance of “no confidence” is quite the understatement.

You should be preparing for complete economic meltdown.

Yes, the central banksters have brought down economies and nations before, but bringing down the American economy will be the mother lode of all financial disasters that they cause.

I believe they figured it was time to shift the economic super-power from America to the “emerging markets,” and fell into the trap of believing their own currency-manipulation lies and their Keynesian economic pipedreams.

Asia is a massive bubble that is already popping.

When America and Asia and Europe all implode, the economic situation will be a moot point compared to the complete breakdown in civil order.

I have not changed my tag line in a long time.


24 posted on 09/05/2011 7:33:57 PM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (Prepare for survival.)
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To: The_Media_never_lie

Possibly ... like I resign ... but I don’t think he will because he loves being the Food Stamp President and Moo likes all those free fancy vacations.


25 posted on 09/05/2011 7:58:36 PM PDT by RetiredTexasVet (There's a pill for just about everything ... except stupid!)
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To: silverleaf

Good thing I have all my money invested in a large stash of canned tuna.


26 posted on 09/05/2011 10:34:09 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX ( The state is the great fiction by which everybody seeks to live at the expense of everybody else. ~)
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