Rudy also tried skipping the early races and focus on Florida. The results? Crash and burn. By the time Florida rolls around, the voters there are already quite cognizant of how you've done so far. If you're a turkey, they'll treat you as one.
Ignoring Iowa is a tacit admission that you're not a strong candidate. Yeah, he's strong in NH. He's sank more money in that state than the Stimulus has. He'll carry it, and that will be his first and only win. He won't win SC, Iowa or Florida over Perry. Bachmann might have a thin swing at Iowa, but that will be the highwater mark of her candidacy.
I know this is heresy, and I denounce myself for saying it, but Bachmann is a VP candidate, only in the race to be Romney's conservative beard in the event Romney wins the nomination. She knows perfectly well that she's not going to top the ticket, but that Romney's odds were actually pretty good. Romney has zero appeal to the red states, wheras she has a deep appeal.
Since Romney is basically running the McCain 'last man standing' 2008 playbook, it stands to reason that he's going to need a strong conservative wingman to close the deal with the base voters. A problem that neither Perry, nor Palin, for that matter, have. Of course, Perry or Palin are popular governors, and are very viable top ticket contenders. Bachmann isn't. My $0.02, anyway.
At this point, Bachmann is more viable than Palin. At least Bachmann has organization and fundraising and she's won the Straw Poll.
I predict Perry will win Iowa.
For all those who want to disagree with me, you have great hope, as I have supported Thompson, Forbes and Gramm in recent elections. My track record is not good.
A woman from Concerned Women for America was on C-SPAN this morning. She said they don't endorse anyone for President but were happy with a lot of the candidates running this year on the Republican side. She seemed to think that Sarah Palin would enter the race.
Gee, that sounds like the current zipperhead in the WH. At least Bachmann HAS a resume.