This ties his lowest Gallup (A) number. I’d like to see it drop south of 35%. With 1% growth last quarter, we’re just a hair above sinking into another recession. If that happens, any remaining independents still leaning in his direction will defect.
The pollsters will continue to prop it up for a while. They know all the tricks: over-sampling Dems, going for adults instead of likely voters, etc. They only let it slip under forty to sound the alarm. They want Obama to know he’s in trouble. They’ll give him time to turn it around and when he fails [which he will because he can’t do otherwise; the policies he’s most committed to are the ones wrecking the economy] they’ll let it slide again. Rinse and repeat till shortly before the election, when their reputations are on the line and they’ll have to strive for accuracy at last.
I have predicted for some time that by October it will be at least as low as 35%, maybe below that.