I lay a lot of the meteorologic hype at Joe Bastardi’s door and he’s a friend, not a foe. It’s high stakes to go out on a limb with the weather, that’s why so many picnics are rained out with a 40% probability of showers.
Joe is good at pulling historical data and comparing it to present day situations. In the case of a Cat 4 or Cat 5 cane going up the entire east coast, there is very little historical data because it rarely happens. He unfortunately probably got hood winked by those Computer Models. You would need sea water temps that were 3-5 Degrees C higher then normal between the Bahamas and North Carolina to support such a rare event. The sea temps were normal.