Posted on 08/25/2011 12:43:08 PM PDT by Sarabaracuda
President Obama continues to lead all named Republicans in early polling on the 2012 race for the White House, but the numbers suggest a competitive race may be possible.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows the President earning 43% of the vote if Texas Governor Rick Perry is the GOP nominee. Perry attracts support from 40%. Ten percent (10%) say they’d prefer some other candidate while seven percent (7%) are not sure.
If Congresswoman Michele Bachmann is the GOP candidate, the president leads 43% to 39%. In that match-up, 12% would prefer some other candidate and seven percent (7%) are not sure.
With former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney as his opponent, the president leads 46% to 38%. In an Obama-Romney contest, eight percent (8%) would look for a third party option while nine percent (9%) are not sure. (To see question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The match-up surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted August 17-22, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for the surveys is +/- 3% with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Perry leads the race for the GOP nomination by double digits. However, it’s worth noting that the 2008 nominee, John McCain, never led in national polling until the end of December in 2007. The frontrunner for the nomination often polls better than other candidates in match-ups against an incumbent president.
Data released earlier shows the President leading Congressman Ron Paul by a single point and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin by double digits.
The previous round of match-ups showed the president leading Perry by five and Bachmann by seven. At that time, Romney held a one-point lead over Obama.
Perry leads Obama by 69 percentage points among Republicans. Bachmann leads by 61 among GOP voters and Romney by 59. The president leads all three among unaffiliated voters. However, the president’s support among unaffiliateds ranges from 41% to 44% and a quarter of unaffiliateds remain either undecided or interested in a third party option.
A Generic Republican leads the president by five percentage points. One of the best measures of a president’s prospects for re-election is his Job Approval rating. Recently, the president’s approval has held steady in the low-to-mid 40s, a sign of potential vulnerability. However, it is very early in the election cycle and there is plenty of time for the president’s numbers to improve (or possibly to decline). In either case, as election day approaches, the president’s share of the vote is likely to be very close to his Job Approval rating.
Match-ups for each candidate were conducted on separate nights as part of the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
The 6 of them were more of the thinking that Congress ie the R’s have not helped Obama. This “balance” word flew around alot. Balance is a stupid word all it means is both sides lose. Ive gotten to where I cant listen to stupid any longer....lol
Watch out...you’ll be added to her watchlist.
That's why I've maintained, and will still maintain that Obama is going to be extremely difficult to beat, regardless of which GOPer goes forward. Poll after poll shows Americans still... after some 945 days into Obama's administration.. blame Bush for the weak economy. And it's the economy upon which they'll base their vote next year. Obama doesn't have to actually find solutions to problems; he only needs to appear to be "trying" to do so.
One dynamic at work that many of us overlook, is though people disapprove of the job Obama is doing, voters still like him personally. There's something about his countenance they simply find appealing.
I still believe it's going to take not only a superb selling job by the GOP nominee, but a major -- and timely -- scandal to bring Obama down enough to be defeated in 2012. Otherwise, the economy is the "it" thing, and voters still seem reticent to give the Republicans another go in the White House.
” ... how can ALL of the Republican candidates be losing to Obama, when at the end of the survey he still loses to the “generic” Republican?”
I think that most Independents want someone besides Obama, so generic Republican does well. But, when you start putting names to Republican, then the negatives come along with each candidate, and those Independents choose Obama over the candidates the GOP is offering.
Rasmussen is a bullfeathers poll.There is no way obama would be ahead of mickeyfrickinmouse much less any republican challenger.
It isn’t just these people. Look at the polls. Obama is near even with republicans. I don’t understand why anyone would want him re-elected.
Historically, Rasmussen has been the best...
The fact that many people don’t know who Perry is, yet he is polling this well is telling. OTOH everyone knows who SP is and she keeps getting beat handily in these polls. I think SP would be the better president, but it’s getting harder to see her winning the election.
Difficult, but not impossible. The nominee will have to have:
1. Reasonably benign negatives
2. A record of job creation
3. Presidential appearance and charisma
4. Not afraid to attack Obama’s record
Perry comes closest to those requirements.
Gallup had Perry tied. He can pull off a strong win, IMHO.
Did they all look like good little Nazi’s?
Someone please explain something to me.
If Hussein in Rasmussen’s poll is tanking, how can he be handily winning against these Republicans?
Are these the same people or different ones?
Makes no sense.
Look, I don’t care if you hate Romney or not...any one of the Republicans would move the nation more to the right than Hussein. Maybe not as much as we’d like, but certainly not shooting down the sewer like Hussein is doing.
The polling is helpful only in determining how unpopular Obama is right now. He is the only one listed who is clearly a known personality, and he is only getting 43% of the vote. Pollsters always claim that that is an unwinnable situation for an incumbant. This poll shows that 57% do not want Obama to have a second term.
FDR came up with the New Deal ponzi scheme that is the genesis of the massive welfare schemes at the root of our Federal debt problem and various other big government schemes that prolonged the Great Depression. He won 4 presidential elections. As George Bernard Shaw put it - "A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul".
To someone who’s been in the race a week, pulling 43 percent against them, and 43 against pretty much every republican.
With adults? Not good.
But he’s still not dead in the water.
I’m wearing my flame retardant suit for this question, but can someone please give me the rationale for pushing for Palin when Bachmann is already in the race? What makes Palin a better candidate?
I don’t believe Americans saw Roosevelt as putting forth a ponzi scene. I believe they saw him as someone who was doing something to bring America back from the brink of destruction. You can argue all you want whether his policies prolonged the depression but millions of Americans believed they were necessary and people were working again. Obama has done nothing that has put people back to work.
If someone asked if you had a good marriage and would be still married in 15 months and you where undecided, what is the likely hood that you would be married in fifteen months? Not likely!
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