Hurricane Irene [Now at Cat 3]

hurricane warning for us now. Got all my supplies ready. Plants inside. Water collected. Tank full of gas. Now I’m taking the family out for a hearty meal so we don’t have to worry about cooking tonight.

I’ll stay on as long as the electricity allows me.

81 posted on 08/21/2011 11:25:18 AM PDT by cll (I am the warrant and the sanction)

Thanks for the update! I was wondering wither you were busy with hurricane prep or perhaps enjoying an exotic vacation on the other side of the world. All the best wishes to you and your family as the storm approaches Puerto Rico. Please check in when you can. Stay safe!

82 posted on 08/21/2011 12:45:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

AM I seeing things or did the center of rotation dip south in the latest loop?

83 posted on 08/21/2011 12:52:20 PM PDT by numberonepal (Palin/Cain 2012)

Updates from the Caribbean Hurricane Network

St. Kitts

- Is She Gone Yet?

By R Petrillo M Puceta <mikenrenee at live.com>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 19:21:12 +0000

After another power outage, exactly an hour long again, we decided to run outside and take a look. There is some flooding, a few broken branches, and a couple of newly planted palm trees down, but at least the Frigate Bay/SouthEast Peninsula came through relatively unscathed. We haven't heard anything about how the countryside did, but water was flowing down in rivulets down cliffs and river-like down the roadsides, so I'm sure all the ghauts were in full flow. Winds were a bit high at The Strip (30-35 knots), oddly enough, but the rest of the beaches, whether ocean or sea side, weren't too bad (probably 20 knots or less). Waves on the ocean side from N Friars Bay and west (like Keys Beach) were very high - from 10' and up. It hasn't rained in about 2 hours now, but there will probably be a bit more before the day is done. We took a tour of a portion of the island, so if you want more info (and pics) you can go to my blog and get the details. Looks like we dodged another one. Yes! Renee (www.IslandBabble.blogspot.com)

Puerto Rico

- Tropical Storm Irene

By Eric D Oliver <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 15:10:57 -0400

The rain has arrived in Metro San Juan and it's not playing around, it's 
serious.  Easy to see there will be major street flooding in a short time.  
Government workers have been told they will be off tomorrow, I noticed lines at 
6am at the gas station and I'm sure many businesses will be closed. 

Hopefully, I will go home this evening and give you more on local conditions.  

Eric in PR
Sent from my iPhone 4

- update from Caimito Alto, San Juan, Puerto Rico

By Joan Santos <joansantos1755 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 15:07:23 -0400

Good afternoon all,

I think we've seen our last glimpses of the sun for a while. Earlier today, the Natioal Hurricane Center upgraded the Hurricane Watch to a Warning. The eye of the storm is approximately 210 miles from San Juan, travelling west at 20 MPH. It's time to batten down the hatches.

Currently, it is starting to rain somewhat steadily. The wind is picking up making it chilly here. As I am originally form Boston, Massachusetts, I never would have believed I would feel cold in Puerto Rico!

I will try to send another update as the storm intensifies.

I hope that you all stay safe as TS Irene passes.

Joan

- Waitin' for Irene....

By Jack Hunter <wb7adc at onelinkpr.net>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 15:00:02 -0400

So far no rain here on the north side of PR.  Winds are light out of the
n to ne.  I expect IRENE to be a strong TS or possibly a cat 1 by the
time it hits PR.  I'm guessing that she will come ashore S of Humacao,
or a bit further N than what the models show.  Thats OK 'cause the
further north she goes, the less of an impact on the island.  Besides,
according to those who live in Ponce (on the south shores of PR)  Ponce
is Ponce.....everything else is just parking!     Stay dry and most of
all stay safe....
-- 
S/v Don Quijote

84 posted on 08/21/2011 12:53:59 PM PDT by Rebelbase (Disgusted with the establishment GOP and their enablers.)

San Juan Doppler RADAR indicates that the center is forming almost due East of San Juan. This is further North than previously reported. With that the models are tracking further East.

85 posted on 08/21/2011 1:03:07 PM PDT by CharlyFord (t)

I remember using Google Earth to track & forecast hurricanes, but that functionality seems to be missing in the latest version. Is anyone doing this? Does anyone know how to accomplish this?

86 posted on 08/21/2011 1:08:06 PM PDT by Marak (I don't deal with reality.)

I had to dump Google Earth from my desktop because it interfered with access to secure client databases.

87 posted on 08/21/2011 1:29:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

To: numberonepal

I don't get excited about a single frame jog or wobble. ok, maybe I got excited one time when Hurricane Charley turned inland before plundering up Tampa Bay. These storms frequently have a jog or wobble in a single frame without a sustained change in direction. If the wobble continues for multiple frames, then you may well be witnessing a change in direction.

Pressure dropped 6mb to 999 in three hours this afternoon. Center of the storm is near St. Croix.

88 posted on 08/21/2011 1:59:30 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

San Juan Radar Loop (java loop) shows the well defined eye currently over St. Croix.

89 posted on 08/21/2011 2:21:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

I can't get your link to work...

..where did you read about the well defined eye and the sudden drop in 3 hours?

90 posted on 08/21/2011 2:50:29 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)

The pressure drop is noted in the different pressures between the 11AM and 2PM advisories. The Puerto Rico radar loop link works. It is the Plymouth University website. Lots of good links there.

91 posted on 08/21/2011 3:35:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

If your browser won't allow the cool java radar loop, you can see the eye of the storm over St. Croix in this still radar image

92 posted on 08/21/2011 3:39:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

This is the still images of San Juan RADAR and NOAA Satellite. The newly formed eye is visible. It's trying to be a hurricane. It also appears to be wobbling W/SW toward the earlier forecast track.

93 posted on 08/21/2011 4:02:29 PM PDT by CharlyFord (t)

94 posted on 08/21/2011 4:12:02 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)

Thanks NN! Definitely watching this one here in SW FL.

95 posted on 08/21/2011 5:06:36 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart Recipient)

To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...

...Irene strengthening as it approaches Puerto Rico...

Irene is about 50 miles SE of San Juan PR
Sustained winds 70 mph...993mb
Moving WNW at 15 mph
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles from the center...

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

96 posted on 08/21/2011 8:00:05 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

97 posted on 08/21/2011 8:12:36 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("Kick The Communists Out Of Your Govt. And Don't Accept Their Goodies"-Yuri Bezmenov-KGB Defector)

To: sheikdetailfeather; CharlyFord

NHC Forecast tracks and spaghetti model graphics, along with all sorts of satellite, buoy, NHC public advisory & discussion links are located at the top of the thread. They automatically update too.

98 posted on 08/21/2011 8:19:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)

Thanks NN. According to the local news on WFTV, there are two highs (one on each side of Fla.) Depending on how close these get, that will have an influence on how close the storm gets. The current path has it coming up the Daytona side and having winds of approx. 90mph by 8pm Thurs. night.

99 posted on 08/21/2011 8:28:50 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("Kick The Communists Out Of Your Govt. And Don't Accept Their Goodies"-Yuri Bezmenov-KGB Defector)

Good sites to follow this? Thanksgiving week vacation in The Outer Banks..sigh..thank N N...Do you subscribe to Larry Cosgrove’s weather newsletter via Houston Examiner website?

100 posted on 08/21/2011 8:41:59 PM PDT by GregB (I am moving to Palinland!!!)

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794