Assume Palin announces that she's runnign today. What would the next poll, of likely GOP voters, say, next week.,..show..
My take..Palin 35%, Perry 25%, Mitt 15%, Paul 10%
Bachman might have 5%, and the rest one or two % each..
Instantly, by running, she removes AZNY reason for a Bachmann candidacy..and could almost push MItt out of the race..
I think you are overly optimistic. Palin would likely start as a serious underdog and would have to turn it around for her to win. The media has in many ways had their way with her, particularly with those who don’t follow politics closely. It will take a lot of work to turn that around.
I believe she can do it, but it will be fight. A long hard fight.