[GrouchoTex]

But what you have posted, that is 3 days over water. Don is supposed to be here by Friday night. 2 days from now. I guess time will tell. Obviously, the longer it’s out there........

[dirtboy]

Here is a good historical comparison to Don, although it was earlier in the season - this caught folks by surprise as they were not expecting a hurricane at landfall:

[dirtboy]

Don is supposed to be here by Friday night. 2 days from now.

48 hours from TS formation Alicia was a Cat 2.

[dirtboy]

And also realize the NHC admits they have a much harder time with intensity than they do with track. I just don’t see how this storm doesn’t make at least Cat 1 - the Gulf is warm, the air is humid and the shear is low. We’ll get a better picture tomorrow morn, but folks along the coast should be running through their checklists tonight.

[dirtboy]

And here is another TX landfalling storm to ponder:

Note this got up to 70 mph with half the distance that Don has before it reaches the TX coast.