Actually, there is: she has to consider Perry's timeline, as well as Bachmann's rise, which is already impacting the availability of staff and the potential to raise money. The more she waits the less room she has to maneuver, because her opponents in the GOP nomination race are not the press or the Democrats but the other GOP candidates.
It would force every aspect of every thing she does to fit into campaign law. The bus tour would have been impossible.
How would the bus tour have been impossible? Bachmann is doing a bus tour of Iowa right now. The only thing that would have changed is that she would actually be touring states that matter to the Republican nomination.
If this was the 1980 election,, Reagans announcement would still be several months away. November 13th.
Except that campaigns have changed a lot since 1980.
Expect 2012 to be the same.
I don't think you are getting it, Palin DOES NOT play by the "Party Elite's" play book. You can throw all your analysis out the window. She and her campaign WILL NOT be worried about the "other guy"; they will be focused on getting their message out past the media and directly to the citizen. Its the entire field that will be bending their campaigns to fight Palin's strategy and they will surely lose as that is uncharted territory for many, many pol's.
Couple that with the Palin family being "out there" in the public eye and mercilessly attacked. There is hardly anything left for the media to attack with other than trite "she's stupid; just look at her" type commentary from the "i'm relevant!!" types at the alphabet soup networks.
Nah, her campaign began a long time ago; now it is her choosing when to enter and at her will. The others will be playing catch up within two weeks of her announcement and when they do try to fire one across her bow; I see a premeditated nuke coming back at them.
Everyone else in the repub race is running to be Sarahs veep. Thats why “Perry’s timeline and Bachmanns rise” dont affect Sarahs timing.
And yes, campaigns have changed a lot since 1980. And Sarah is changing them again for 2012. Get used to it.